Tuesday, April 17, 2012

SandBox Utah: Hot Air Blog "About that CNN poll …"

Ed Morrissey:
"Allahpundit wrote a lengthy piece about last night’s CNN poll, complete with some insightful commentary about the cross-tabs.  If you missed it — and by the number of comments on the post, it doesn’t appear than many of you have — be sure to read it now.  However, the sample data, as AP pointed out, lacked a few details, most prominent of which was the partisan split of the sampling.  Given the inclination of media polls to use wildly unrepresentative D/R/I splits in their samples, the lack of transparency on that point is telling.

That might not be the biggest problem with the poll, though.  Its biggest problem is … math.  Reader Raymond O did some math and asked a rather interesting set of questions in an e-mail last night about how CNN did theirs.  First, let’s start with the topline results, as reported by CNN: Obama 52%, Romney 43% among registered voters, 53/41 among all respondents.  If that’s the case, then the number of respondents in the latter case voting for Obama should be 538, and the number supporting Romney 416....."
(Read more?  Click title)

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